Faithkat
Well-Known Member
This has just arrived in my e-mail:
From: The Isle of Wight Weather Station
Date: 09/03/2008 17:03:48
To: tsentry@runbox.com
Subject: Isle of Wight Weather WEATHER WARNING : frost warning!
Confidence is now high in that an exceptionally deep Atlantic low will affect the UK during
Sunday night, Monday and into the early hours of Tuesday, bringing with it a spell of heavy rain,
the risk of some snow, and perhaps more significantly, the risk of gales and severe gales.
The low is currently developing rapidly out in the Atlantic as forecast, but after days of
consistency between the models about its forecast track, the low is now being forecast to track
on a more southerly route than previously indicated. This in turn will have some affect over the
resulting weather conditions as will be detailed below. It is now expected that this low will make
landfall over central areas of the Republic of Ireland during the early hours of Monday morning
before tracking eastwards across Wales, the Midlands, and exiting the country around
Lincolnshire.
With this system there are still expected to be two main areas of strong winds causing concern.
The first is expected to be ahead of the frontal system as it crosses the country during the early
hours of Monday morning, with southerly gales likely, gusting up towards 70mph over exposed
Irish Sea coasts along with southern and southwestern coasts for a time. Even in the southeast,
winds could gust up to 65mph for a time and this could coincide with Monday morning's rush
hour. As the front comes through, there is also the risk of some exceptionally squally gusts along
with hail and thunder.
The second area of concern will be the winds coming around the low on its southern flank, where
westerly gales or severe gales are likely. This now looks like mainly affecting southwestern
England (particularly Cornwall along with the Channel Islands). Winds here could gust to between
70 and 80mph during Monday afternoon and evening, before spreading further east across other
southern counties of England (mostly to the south of the M4 corridor) as we go into Monday night.
As always, the strongest winds are likely over exposed coasts and hills, but even inland areas
could see gusts of wind of over 60mph at times.
All this will be enough to bring a risk of structural damage, hazardous travelling conditions along
with disruption to power supplies. In addition, coastal flooding is likely to be of significant concern
in southwestern coastal districts as the winds coincide with high spring tides and bring the risk of
a storm surge. If you are at all concerned, please visit the Environment Agency website here
Heavy rain is also expected to be a feature of this system, with up to an inch of rain falling in
some areas. Snow is expected over high ground, mainly for the hills above 1000 feet, with some
accumulations of up to 10cm possible over hills in northern England and Scotland.
From: The Isle of Wight Weather Station
Date: 09/03/2008 17:03:48
To: tsentry@runbox.com
Subject: Isle of Wight Weather WEATHER WARNING : frost warning!
Confidence is now high in that an exceptionally deep Atlantic low will affect the UK during
Sunday night, Monday and into the early hours of Tuesday, bringing with it a spell of heavy rain,
the risk of some snow, and perhaps more significantly, the risk of gales and severe gales.
The low is currently developing rapidly out in the Atlantic as forecast, but after days of
consistency between the models about its forecast track, the low is now being forecast to track
on a more southerly route than previously indicated. This in turn will have some affect over the
resulting weather conditions as will be detailed below. It is now expected that this low will make
landfall over central areas of the Republic of Ireland during the early hours of Monday morning
before tracking eastwards across Wales, the Midlands, and exiting the country around
Lincolnshire.
With this system there are still expected to be two main areas of strong winds causing concern.
The first is expected to be ahead of the frontal system as it crosses the country during the early
hours of Monday morning, with southerly gales likely, gusting up towards 70mph over exposed
Irish Sea coasts along with southern and southwestern coasts for a time. Even in the southeast,
winds could gust up to 65mph for a time and this could coincide with Monday morning's rush
hour. As the front comes through, there is also the risk of some exceptionally squally gusts along
with hail and thunder.
The second area of concern will be the winds coming around the low on its southern flank, where
westerly gales or severe gales are likely. This now looks like mainly affecting southwestern
England (particularly Cornwall along with the Channel Islands). Winds here could gust to between
70 and 80mph during Monday afternoon and evening, before spreading further east across other
southern counties of England (mostly to the south of the M4 corridor) as we go into Monday night.
As always, the strongest winds are likely over exposed coasts and hills, but even inland areas
could see gusts of wind of over 60mph at times.
All this will be enough to bring a risk of structural damage, hazardous travelling conditions along
with disruption to power supplies. In addition, coastal flooding is likely to be of significant concern
in southwestern coastal districts as the winds coincide with high spring tides and bring the risk of
a storm surge. If you are at all concerned, please visit the Environment Agency website here
Heavy rain is also expected to be a feature of this system, with up to an inch of rain falling in
some areas. Snow is expected over high ground, mainly for the hills above 1000 feet, with some
accumulations of up to 10cm possible over hills in northern England and Scotland.
