Mike007
Well-Known Member
1. the reason people fear the disease is that in years gone by is because it was only identified by the abscesses? That is not why people fear the disease
2.There has always been a method of testing,
3.Your first sentence does not seem to grasp the problem, in scientific experimentation, one needs a control group and an experimental group, it would not be possible to test the general UK population AND monitor them [twice daily temperatures] over a period of years, presumably blood testing for antibodies and so on as well as clinical reports.
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When the strangles outbreak was eventually confirmed [a month after a SICK horse arrived at the yard from a DEALER'S yard AND from Ireland].
5.The horses in the RS were assumed to be at low risk and were sent in to isolation, but were monitored [rectal temp twice daily] AND they were all blood tested........ which showed that many of them had strangles antibodies even though none of them had ever had abscesses, or symptoms to cause concern, those with antibodies would also be expected to have immunity to some degree.
The horses in the livery yard were a group with more varied backgrounds, with constant turnover. Once the horses which were shedding were mixed with the others, the inevitable happened. There were four horses in a row with the disease, all pretty much with the disease contracted within three weeks.
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1. You have entirely missed the point. If one only ever sees the most severe cases ,it is natural to assume that all cases must be severe.
2.Yes a very slow method .
3.I dont think anyone was talking about an experiment ,so those points are irrelevant. A survey however of blood antibody levels would be rather interesting.
4. A yard where a dealing horse from Ireland is put into the general population un quaranteened and untested.Well that kind of puts things into perspective.
5. Without knowing the horses immunity status prior to exposure ,all this is pretty irrelevant.