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I would agree with you thinking he is insecure yes. And if the rider doesn’t support him then he feels the need to take it into his own hands and that’s maybe why he runs?welsh are worriers, I suspect at that point in time, for whatever reason something is worrying or hurting him. Trigger finding will definitely help, they aren't always obvious.
A couple of times mine went a bit dolally at and indoor SJ we went to lots of the time, he'd go from dozing at the sidelines to I need to get out of here NOW (generally very chilled about life for a welsh) realised for him it was when particular songs were played- he does not do base.
Do you have a good stop word too?
ETA your latest post makes me wonder if he is just a bit insecure, prefers the handholding of stronger riding and isn't quite ready to take responsibilty for himself yet .