ycbm
Einstein would be proud of my Insanity...
My final post on this thread but can I just point out that Blenheim last year had a higher risk of horse fatality than Aintree did this year. You need to look at the numbers objectively and calculate risk per starters but Aintree had 320 racing over the 3 days and Blenheim had 160 horses starting over both the short and long courses. Both had 3 fatalities.
Racing will always have a higher number of horse injuries because they have considerably more participants than other sports, therefore the most accurate way is to work out the risk per 1000 starters for each equine discipline, this balances out the participant bias.
Blenheim (2022) Risk of horse fatality per 1000 starters = 18.7 horses/1000 starters
Aintree (2023) Risk of horse fatality per 1000 starters 9.37 horses / 1000 starters
Unfortunately the data around showjumping, dressage, polo etc plus BE is hidden away somewhere by the governing bodies so I was unable to do a true comparison - unless someone can point me in the direction of it?
ETA: I’m not posting that as a justification but I think it is very important that the figures are looked at objectively. I would 100% welcome a reduction in the number of horses allowed to run as well as the removal of the whip (I actually did my MRes ethics module presentation and report on banning the whip).
No.
Sorry, just no.
That is NOT looking at the figures objectively, it's "lies, damned lies and statistics".
You cannot reasonably take one completely unrepresentative year at Blenheim and compare it with what happens in jump racing week after week after week.
You cannot judge the known outcome of an unlucky event and retrospectively call it the risk of competing at that event. The known risk of a death at Blenheim on starting was, statistically, close to zero. The known risk of a death at the GN was something under 1 in 50. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_equine_fatalities_in_the_Grand_National
I'll say it again, if eventing killed multiple horses every weekend of the summer season, it wouldn't, imo, continue to run as a sport. And that's the true equivalent of NH racing compared to other horse sports.
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