Would changing eventing scoring system improve safety?

RachelFerd

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Putting this as a separate thread to the one on Blenheim horse deaths, because I think this is an interesting tangent to the discussion and maybe merits its own discussion...

I was listening to a recent episode of the Equiratings Eventing Podcast (the overlander overview show #13 - the recipe of eventing) and Sam Watson had some really interesting and informed views on current safety and public perception issues that eventing is having.

What was interesting is that while the overall trend in the data is that horse falls are going down at al levels from the bottom right up to 4*, at 5* horse falls have been going up. Kentucky, Luhmuhlen and Burghley all had a 10%+ faller rate, which is too high - and the highest rate in many years. And although frangible tech has reduced falls significantly, more MiMs are being triggered at all levels, meaning that without the MiMs there would be more falls.

Sam's focus was on the type of horse coming into eventing - and that the imbalance in the way that the phases are scored leads to the dressage phase carrying more influence than the jumping phases. Hence the reliance on having horses with more and more movement and dressage breeding, and less focus on speed and endurance. We're getting more horses with slow power, and less quick speedy reactions.

Rather than amend the courses (which his view was that they are safer than ever in design and construction) his view was that changing the scoring could put more emphasis onto cross country riding, retain the weighting on SJ and reduce the influence of dressage - theoretically leading to a situation in which the phases have equal influence on the result and that the type of horse going into the sport would be safer, and continued emphasis would be placed on XC training rather than perfection of dressage work. He also raised the idea that maybe being closest to the optimum time shouldn't be the ideal any more - that faster riding should/could be rewarded. This sounded counter-intuitive on safety to me, until you think about the fact that long term it could change the horses coming in to the sport, and keep the emphasis on XC riding skill... plus, at places like Burghley where the time *is* tight, it has always been the case that fast riding is rewarded - so just make that consistent across all higher level events (this wouldn't apply to grassroots etc. ths is probably 4/5* only).

So two ideas based on this podcast, and a vague idea of how to operationalise them:

1. Create dressage 'pass marks' - so say that anyone scoring 25 or under starts on 0, anyone scoring 27 or under starts on 1, 29 or under is a 2, 31 or under is 3 etc. - lowering the impact of dressage judge variation at the top end (Michael Jung did a non-square halt that didn't stay put at Pratoni and still scored two 10s and an 8...) and reducing the difference among the scores, packing the field more tightly from the start.

2. Reward speed on XC - have a guide time based on current MPM speeds (an expected course speed) and a too fast speed which is 30 seconds above the guide time. The fastest 10% of rounds receive a 0 score, and then the rounds are given ranking penalties after that (so beyond 10%, 1 penalty for the next horse, 2 penalties for the one after... etc.) Jumping faults would continue to apply as they currently do. In the event of a tie, fastest horse on XC would always take priority.

You'd obviously need to tweak these a bit to make sure the phases had the right level of influence (using actual data rather than biased views to confirm that...) and it would also challenge the thinking that eventing scoring needs to be 'simpler' to attract an audience - whereas you'd kind of be making it more complicated, in order to shape the direction of the sport. That said, it would create a world in which the perfect eventing result would be to score a '0' - which is about as simple as you can make it?!

Any views??
 

quizzie

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Off the top of my head, I see what you are trying to achieve, but the first problem I see with your suggestions is that it is very spectator unfriendly....in that no-one would know their score until everyone had completed, which takes away the perceived excitement of watching a competition.

If you want to reduce the influence of the dressage ( which I agree with)....then using a multiplying coefficient as has been done in the past will achieve that ( and it was not widely popular as I remember!)

Maybe consider small amounts of faults XC for taking the slower alternatives ( which I appreciate might lead some to try straight routes when they shouldn't.....but at the end of the day riders have to take responsibilty for their choices...it is not all the fault of the course designer!)

I also agree about the type of horses now coming into eventing, but without the full roads and tracks and steeplechase of old, that was inevitable.
 

RachelFerd

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Off the top of my head, I see what you are trying to achieve, but the first problem I see with your suggestions is that it is very spectator unfriendly....in that no-one would know their score until everyone had completed, which takes away the perceived excitement of watching a competition.

If you want to reduce the influence of the dressage ( which I agree with)....then using a multiplying coefficient as has been done in the past will achieve that ( and it was not widely popular as I remember!)

Maybe consider small amounts of faults XC for taking the slower alternatives ( which I appreciate might lead some to try straight routes when they shouldn't.....but at the end of the day riders have to take responsibilty for their choices...it is not all the fault of the course designer!)

I also agree about the type of horses now coming into eventing, but without the full roads and tracks and steeplechase of old, that was inevitable.


The multiplying coefficient used to increase the influence of dressage, not decrease it. You could multiply by less than one to compress the scores instead. I think I like the idea of having a '0' to aim for, whilst also reducing the the ability to get a significant lead from the dressage.

Reintroduction of roads and tracks isn't an option, as it did significantly curtail the careers of horses - the shorter format now is leading to better longevity of horse careers in eventing.
 

Kat

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I thought Sam Watson had a good point and that the likes of Lucinda Green, Ian Stark etc have said similar about dressage being too influential to the detriment of safety.

A return of the dressage co-efficient but in reverse to reduce the influence of dressage seems the most straightforward answer.

The other thing might be a higher rate of time penalty if you are more than a certain amount over the optimum time to penalise the very slow.
 

RachelFerd

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Need to think about this!

ETA you need a good way to differentiate placings as you could easily end up with a few on same score

I've done a spreadsheet which i'll upload later today which shows what would have happened at Pratoni under these scores. Ros would have moved up to win with her faster XC, Yas would have dropped to 7th. Ariel Grald would have climbed 6 places into 5th...
 

sportsmansB

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I found this really interesting too when I listened to the podcast. I completely get where Sam is coming from as regards better and better performances in the dressage being rewarded and that being the phase when you have the chance to outperform everyone else- whereas being the fastest clear inside the time for both XC and SJ doesn't get you any further on than someone who had to scrub their horse over the last 4 fences on the XC but lands bang on the time,, or someone who rubbed every fence SJ but none fell, and finished 0.01 sec inside the time. So dressage is the only phase when exemplary performance is recognised.

I don't think we could reward too-fast riding at the lower levels - it is different in long format 4* and 5* when riders would be expected to be weighing up the fact that they need to have a horse to jump the next day and therefore would only go as quick as they knew they could without busting them.

If we
1) Halved the dressage again (i.e. a 20 becomes a 10) and
2) Went back to 1 penalty per sec over the time rather than 0.4 for both SJ and XC

It would be interesting to see how that worked out? On a quick tot of Maryland results, which isn't actually a great example as the XC time was too lenient, Oliver would have won and then Tim and Tamie joint second but again- should fastest XC trump? I think it should if they have managed to jump on the final day as it means they didn't go 'too fast' to trot up... so it would be Tamie then Tim- on current closest to optimum Tim would trump Tamie.
 

RachelFerd

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I found this really interesting too when I listened to the podcast. I completely get where Sam is coming from as regards better and better performances in the dressage being rewarded and that being the phase when you have the chance to outperform everyone else- whereas being the fastest clear inside the time for both XC and SJ doesn't get you any further on than someone who had to scrub their horse over the last 4 fences on the XC but lands bang on the time,, or someone who rubbed every fence SJ but none fell, and finished 0.01 sec inside the time. So dressage is the only phase when exemplary performance is recognised.

I don't think we could reward too-fast riding at the lower levels - it is different in long format 4* and 5* when riders would be expected to be weighing up the fact that they need to have a horse to jump the next day and therefore would only go as quick as they knew they could without busting them.

If we
1) Halved the dressage again (i.e. a 20 becomes a 10) and
2) Went back to 1 penalty per sec over the time rather than 0.4 for both SJ and XC

It would be interesting to see how that worked out? On a quick tot of Maryland results, which isn't actually a great example as the XC time was too lenient, Oliver would have won and then Tim and Tamie joint second but again- should fastest XC trump? I think it should if they have managed to jump on the final day as it means they didn't go 'too fast' to trot up... so it would be Tamie then Tim- on current closest to optimum Tim would trump Tamie.

Now I've built my spreadsheet I'm going to take it later and run the other 5 stars through it. I like the increase in TPs - that stops the problem of horses getting way too far ahead in the dressage, and then being able to give themselves a window of XC time to their advantage.

I also agree this is just a 4/5* issue in the main - albeit, it might be interesting event at grassroots level to just take the dressage influence down a notch. It might actually attract more people into the lower level BE classes when the flash factor no longer has such a strong impact on results?
 

sportsmansB

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Now I've built my spreadsheet I'm going to take it later and run the other 5 stars through it. I like the increase in TPs - that stops the problem of horses getting way too far ahead in the dressage, and then being able to give themselves a window of XC time to their advantage.

I also agree this is just a 4/5* issue in the main - albeit, it might be interesting event at grassroots level to just take the dressage influence down a notch. It might actually attract more people into the lower level BE classes when the flash factor no longer has such a strong impact on results?

I do think that it should and it would mean that maybe at junior/ YR levels as well as 90/100/110 the 'old fashioned' super safe jumpers would go back to being the horse of choice for safety and fun rather than some flashy article which isn't the safest or indeed really built for the job but gets round the jumping phases.

The two things I mentioned above still don't really reward between a really good speedy clear and a lucky laboured one- but short of having some sort of style mark for XC (Classic Moet at Burghley anyone?!) I can't see how that can be... But they do still allow for scoring to be kept up with as the day goes on rather than thinking about percentiles etc- and as a regular scorer / organiser, they can be easily incorporated into how we currently do things
 

KEK

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Love the overview shows.
As someone who doesn't compete in eventing but is a new super-fan I agree dressage is too influential. XC is the point of difference in eventing- so it would be nice to see it as the most important, IMO. That's also the most spectator interesting bit.
Agree with Sam it seems totally ridiculous for someone to be penalised for going faster than the optimum time a la Ros at Pretoni.
Maybe XC could have the multiplier to increase its weighting? Kind of feel SJ and dressage should be the same, and they are obviously not atm.
I play agility at top level, and it was interesting listening to him talk about his opinion of the equine athlete (speed, footwork etc) and compare it to our dogs as its very much the same.
Great thread.
 

Kat

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I do think that it should and it would mean that maybe at junior/ YR levels as well as 90/100/110 the 'old fashioned' super safe jumpers would go back to being the horse of choice for safety and fun rather than some flashy article which isn't the safest or indeed really built for the job but gets round the jumping phases.

The two things I mentioned above still don't really reward between a really good speedy clear and a lucky laboured one- but short of having some sort of style mark for XC (Classic Moet at Burghley anyone?!) I can't see how that can be... But they do still allow for scoring to be kept up with as the day goes on rather than thinking about percentiles etc- and as a regular scorer / organiser, they can be easily incorporated into how we currently do things

Halving the dressage score would probably be a sensible measure at all levels (grassroots see some incredibly low dressage scores which can make the rest of the competition a bit of a formality).

Changing time penalties perhaps is only appropriate at long format, unless they consider some level of "too fast" penalty too.
 

Ambers Echo

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Id be very interested in changes. I have always felt that dressage was too influential. In SJ, fastest clear wins. Would a possibility be to rank all the double clears above anyone with any jumping penalties? Or even jumping plus time. So DC plus lowest dressage or dressage + time pens score wins. But a person with a 17 dressage & 4 SJ faults doesn't actually come anywhere as they are below all the DCs.
 

claracanter

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This is a really interesting thread, thank you. I don’t have the answer though. Absolutely agree, dressage is too influential for something that is, at the end of the day, subjective. You just have to look at how event horses have changed over the years. Breeders, owners and riders now want horses with big flashy paces so they can be in the top so many after dressage, to stand a chance of winning overall. The sport is going the wrong way and no longer great to watch. Dressage needs to be less significant and let’s hope the powers that be can do something about it. Why don’t we applaud the best SJ and XC rounds instead?
 

RachelFerd

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Id be very interested in changes. I have always felt that dressage was too influential. In SJ, fastest clear wins. Would a possibility be to rank all the double clears above anyone with any jumping penalties? Or even jumping plus time. So DC plus lowest dressage or dressage + time pens score wins. But a person with a 17 dressage & 4 SJ faults doesn't actually come anywhere as they are below all the DCs.

I don't think that works, because you're not balancing the influence of the dressage - you're just using it as a tie break. That said, I would have won quite a few events this year based on that logic, so y'know...
 

Alibear

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It's interesting, isn't it, how to make the dressage less influential without making the XC harder.
Claracanter mentioned that in SJ, it's the fastest time wins. Could we potentially leave XC as it is but add credit for the speed around the SJ? That would emphasise more on jumping without risking the XC becoming more dangerous.
No idea, really, but just reading this thread, it popped out as a theory.
 

RachelFerd

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It's interesting, isn't it, how to make the dressage less influential without making the XC harder.
Claracanter mentioned that in SJ, it's the fastest time wins. Could we potentially leave XC as it is but add credit for the speed around the SJ? That would emphasise more on jumping without risking the XC becoming more dangerous.
No idea, really, but just reading this thread, it popped out as a theory.

I don't think you can do that without heavily weighting towards SJ - at the moment it sounded like that SJ influence is actually about right. As SJ speed is all about power rather than gallop, it might also still attract the wrong 'type' of horse too?? Only musing though. At the top levels the SJ time faults are already pretty influential, and times are tight.
 

Wishfilly

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I get where this is coming from and broadly agree with the sentiment. I like the idea of DC being rewarded somehow, beyond just not getting any faults, obviously. Could it work that if you got a DC, your dressage score is halved? So a horse who got 40 penalties in dressage, but went DC is equal to a horse who got 20 penalties in dressage?

I do also like the idea of compressing the dressage scores.

I am not totally sold on the idea of aiming solely for the fastest time- I do think it could be detrimental to horse welfare in other ways. But if you rewarded DCs, and made XC times tight, with the expectation only a few would go inside the time, and perhaps 1 time penalty per second, over, you could get a similar impact. I do take your point about the type of horse speed would bring into the sport, though!
 

spacefaer

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Just musing - I'm enjoying the discussion and don't currently have a valid option to suggest but I was just pondering as I was out my gang to bed

Putting an emphasis on speed xc , leading to a change of type of horse - I'm assuming a more blood type than the flashy moving warmblood types.
There'd have to be a sharp change in the style of riding xc too.
It'd be detrimental to speed to be hooking and pulling to find a stride on a turn as we see now.
It's much harder to ride technical fences at speed - just ask the TB riders in an Open team chase!
 

VRIN

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I like the idea of changing the emphasis from dressage to the jumping phase but I would be slightly concerned at the idea of speed being the deciding factor - the error by Tom Mckeown at Badminton was attributed to speed. Is there any data on how speed may have contributed to falls at the higher levels?
 

Nicnac

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Interesting discussion.

This past weekend at Maryland 5* not one horse fall so that immediately skews Sam's findings. Think there was only one rider fall which was very innocuous. Time was 11.30 so a long course but was easy to get. Show jumping however was really tough both in technicality and time. Dressage scores were quite high compared to other 5*'s.

Need to find a way where each phase is 33% of overall score however that can be weighted.
 

KEK

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Sam was pretty adamant that increasing the importance of speed would not increase the number of riders suddenly able to go fast/start riding unsafely and it makes sense- surely you'd have to look back at the breeding, increase %of blood etc, to make a meaningful difference?
Agility is all about speed, fastest clear wins, and its where the breeding has gone, dogs are bred to be faster not just run faster somehow.
 

teapot

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Interesting discussion.

This past weekend at Maryland 5* not one horse fall so that immediately skews Sam's findings. Think there was only one rider fall which was very innocuous. Time was 11.30 so a long course but was easy to get. Show jumping however was really tough both in technicality and time. Dressage scores were quite high compared to other 5*'s.

Need to find a way where each phase is 33% of overall score however that can be weighted.

Would it be worth taking Maryland’s results with a pinch of salt? It’s a new event, the known/named pros all said the time was too long, and dressage scores wise not the most experienced field by any stretch, compared to the others.

From a viewing perspective I found the xc dull, the sj was way more influential and a better watch.

Interesting thoughts on this thread though - I do wonder what the future of the sport is.
 

LEC

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I have been debating this on discord. My suggestion was that maybe we look at Young Event horse scoring for dressage. The overall test is given a mark with a maximum of say 20 rather than individual movements being marked. You could have 3 judges and then this score is averaged so no judge has any undue influence. You then move onto xc and Sjing as normal and it’s easy for people to understand.
 

ycbm

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I wrote this on the other thread about event safety. Needless to say I think Sam is on the right track and reducing the dressage influence could be the answer.

1950/60/70/80
"An eventer is a jumper that does a bit of dressage. "

2000/10/20
"An eventer is a dressage horse which jumps".

Asking too much of the wrong horses.
.
 
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RachelFerd

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I wrote this on the other thread about event safety. Needless to say I think Sam is on the right track and reducing the dressage influence could be the answer.

The only gap in the evidence for me (and I hope it is just because it hasn't been shared, and it does exist) is that it is the more dressage bred type horses that are falling. Does a higher % of TB blood actually make a horse safer? Certainly a lot of the French breeding seems to have it right though - horses like Banzai du Loir are blood, athletic AND can really move and turn out the dressage scores too. Whereas London 52 doesn't do that for me - he looks like a DR/SJ horse that has been taught to gallop (no discredit to LC - she's done an amazing job).
 

spacefaer

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Sam was pretty adamant that increasing the importance of speed would not increase the number of riders suddenly able to go fast/start riding unsafely and it makes sense- surely you'd have to look back at the breeding, increase %of blood etc, to make a meaningful difference?
Agility is all about speed, fastest clear wins, and its where the breeding has gone, dogs are bred to be faster not just run faster somehow.

I think increases in speed have been acquired through greater manoeuvrability, rather than speed in a straight line. So a pony will beat a horse in a jump off, but the horse will win over a straight distance.
 

ycbm

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The only gap in the evidence for me (and I hope it is just because it hasn't been shared, and it does exist) is that it is the more dressage bred type horses that are falling. Does a higher % of TB blood actually make a horse safer? Certainly a lot of the French breeding seems to have it right though - horses like Banzai du Loir are blood, athletic AND can really move and turn out the dressage scores too. Whereas London 52 doesn't do that for me - he looks like a DR/SJ horse that has been taught to gallop (no discredit to LC - she's done an amazing job).


I think there's a physical and a mental aspect. The natural ground eating gallop, yes, but also the high TB blood horses seem to think so much quicker when they're in a tight spot.

Dressage horse v. eventer, I know from riding my own hypermobile horse that it takes him a lot longer to pull himself together out of an unbalanced moment than it ever would most TBs, who would just pull another leg out of a back pocket.
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